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Marketmetis_0101M03Q36JNQRFDGVCDv1

TSLAx trades +26bps above the TSLA reference price

Token price diverges 26bps from the reference equity price.

Confidence: moderate64%TSLAx

Summary

TSLAx trades at +26bps versus the TSLA reference price. Circulating supply is 229,638.133 tokens (+0% vs the prior observation). Tracked DEX liquidity totals $897,454 across ? pools. The five largest token accounts hold 44.6% of supply (pools and custodial accounts included). 24h DEX volume of $800,647 implies 0.89x turnover of pooled liquidity.

Why it matters

Tokenized equities trade continuously while their reference markets do not. Divergence, liquidity, and activity shifts quantify what that continuous access costs or earns.

Key observations

TSLAx trades at +26bps versus the TSLA reference price.

premium_bps = 26 bps (baseline 17.203)

Circulating supply is 229,638.133 tokens (+0% vs the prior observation).

supply_ui_amount = 229,638.133 tokens (baseline 229,638.133)

Tracked DEX liquidity totals $897,454 across ? pools.

liquidity_usd = 897,454 USD (baseline 886,003)

The five largest token accounts hold 44.6% of supply (pools and custodial accounts included).

top5_account_share = 0.446 ratio (baseline 0.446)

24h DEX volume of $800,647 implies 0.89x turnover of pooled liquidity.

volume_24h_usd = 800,647 USD

Thesis

The leading signal this cycle is premium divergence (Token price diverges 26bps from the reference equity price.) The measurements below are source-verified; interpretation is limited to what the evidence supports.

Claims

  • Factconfidence 95%

    TSLAx circulating supply is 229,638.133 tokens, verified against Solana RPC.

  • Calculationconfidence 90%

    TSLAx trades at +26bps versus the TSLA reference price ($342.51882809272206 vs $341.63).

  • Factconfidence 88%

    Tracked DEX liquidity is $897,454 with $800,647 of 24h volume across 0 pools.

  • Hypothesisconfidence 50%

    The positive premium is consistent with net token demand while reference-market arbitrage is constrained; it should compress when primary-market redemption is active.

    Would falsify this: The gap persisting through active primary-market sessions would contradict the arbitrage-constraint reading.

Evidence ledger

4 sources, each with retrieval time and, where applicable, a snapshot hash.

Methodology

Methods

  • Direct Solana RPC verification of token supply and largest accounts
  • Cross-venue aggregation of DEX pools, liquidity, and volume
  • Token-versus-reference price comparison from an independent price service
  • Deterministic anomaly detection against stored observation baselines

Exclusions and transformations

  • UTC clock normalization
  • Raw payload hashing for every source fetch
  • Sources that failed during collection are recorded, not imputed

Comparison window: Stored observation history for this asset

Confidence rationale

Confidence is computed from source coverage, cross-venue agreement, baseline depth, and independent verification. This run scored 0.64 (moderate).

Limitations

  • This object was synthesized by deterministic templates from verified metrics, not a language model.
  • Reference prices republished by the price service may lag the primary market.
  • Largest-account concentration includes liquidity pools and custodial accounts; it is not a beneficial-owner distribution.
  • Sources unavailable this cycle: dexscreener: [dexscreener] HTTP 429 from https://api.dexscreener.com/latest/dex/tokens/XsDoVfqeBukxuZHWhdvWHBhgEHjGNst4MLodqsJHzoB.

Related research

This object elsewhere

sha256:9f326c4528734ec40094d7e172876f7d2362678a04f307fb914e8e70369cea38

This is informational research produced by an automated system. It may contain errors, omissions, or delayed data.

Nothing here is individualized financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.