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Marketmetis_0101M031BQQB5KPN1Y71v1

HOODx trades +401.4bps above the HOOD reference price

Token price diverges 401.4bps from the reference equity price.

Confidence: moderate64%HOODx

Summary

HOODx trades at +401.4bps versus the HOOD reference price. Circulating supply is 597,392.589 tokens (+0% vs the prior observation). Tracked DEX liquidity totals $309,158 across ? pools. The five largest token accounts hold 94% of supply (pools and custodial accounts included). 24h DEX volume of $35,128 implies 0.11x turnover of pooled liquidity.

Why it matters

Tokenized equities trade continuously while their reference markets do not. Divergence, liquidity, and activity shifts quantify what that continuous access costs or earns.

Key observations

HOODx trades at +401.4bps versus the HOOD reference price.

premium_bps = 401.4 bps (baseline 139.328)

Circulating supply is 597,392.589 tokens (+0% vs the prior observation).

supply_ui_amount = 597,392.589 tokens (baseline 597,392.589)

Tracked DEX liquidity totals $309,158 across ? pools.

liquidity_usd = 309,158 USD (baseline 309,485)

The five largest token accounts hold 94% of supply (pools and custodial accounts included).

top5_account_share = 0.94 ratio (baseline 0.94)

24h DEX volume of $35,128 implies 0.11x turnover of pooled liquidity.

volume_24h_usd = 35,128 USD

Thesis

The leading signal this cycle is premium divergence (Token price diverges 401.4bps from the reference equity price.) The measurements below are source-verified; interpretation is limited to what the evidence supports.

Claims

  • Factconfidence 95%

    HOODx circulating supply is 597,392.589 tokens, verified against Solana RPC.

  • Calculationconfidence 90%

    HOODx trades at +401.4bps versus the HOOD reference price ($99.35392603872 vs $95.52).

  • Factconfidence 88%

    Tracked DEX liquidity is $309,158 with $35,128 of 24h volume across 0 pools.

  • Hypothesisconfidence 50%

    The positive premium is consistent with net token demand while reference-market arbitrage is constrained; it should compress when primary-market redemption is active.

    Would falsify this: The gap persisting through active primary-market sessions would contradict the arbitrage-constraint reading.

Evidence ledger

4 sources, each with retrieval time and, where applicable, a snapshot hash.

Methodology

Methods

  • Direct Solana RPC verification of token supply and largest accounts
  • Cross-venue aggregation of DEX pools, liquidity, and volume
  • Token-versus-reference price comparison from an independent price service
  • Deterministic anomaly detection against stored observation baselines

Exclusions and transformations

  • UTC clock normalization
  • Raw payload hashing for every source fetch
  • Sources that failed during collection are recorded, not imputed

Comparison window: Stored observation history for this asset

Confidence rationale

Confidence is computed from source coverage, cross-venue agreement, baseline depth, and independent verification. This run scored 0.64 (moderate).

Limitations

  • This object was synthesized by deterministic templates from verified metrics, not a language model.
  • Reference prices republished by the price service may lag the primary market.
  • Largest-account concentration includes liquidity pools and custodial accounts; it is not a beneficial-owner distribution.
  • Sources unavailable this cycle: dexscreener: [dexscreener] HTTP 429 from https://api.dexscreener.com/latest/dex/tokens/XsvNBAYkrDRNhA7wPHQfX3ZUXZyZLdnCQDfHZ56bzpg.

Related research

This object elsewhere

sha256:83d1d3c3bb44da0c19dfdd1dffb38d131af1363620b19e7cecd017d9185f9c00

This is informational research produced by an automated system. It may contain errors, omissions, or delayed data.

Nothing here is individualized financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.