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Marketmetis_0101M04FPNRW3122KZ2Jv1

HOODx trades +252bps above the HOOD reference price

Token price diverges 252bps from the reference equity price.

Confidence: moderate70%HOODx

Summary

HOODx trades at +252bps versus the HOOD reference price. Circulating supply is 597,392.589 tokens (+0% vs the prior observation). Tracked DEX liquidity totals $446,368 across 10 pools. The five largest token accounts hold 94% of supply (pools and custodial accounts included). 24h DEX volume of $2,755 implies 0.01x turnover of pooled liquidity.

Why it matters

Tokenized equities trade continuously while their reference markets do not. Divergence, liquidity, and activity shifts quantify what that continuous access costs or earns.

Key observations

HOODx trades at +252bps versus the HOOD reference price.

premium_bps = 252 bps (baseline 244.554)

Circulating supply is 597,392.589 tokens (+0% vs the prior observation).

supply_ui_amount = 597,392.589 tokens (baseline 597,392.589)

Tracked DEX liquidity totals $446,368 across 10 pools.

liquidity_usd = 446,368 USD (baseline 445,515)

The five largest token accounts hold 94% of supply (pools and custodial accounts included).

top5_account_share = 0.94 ratio (baseline 0.94)

24h DEX volume of $2,755 implies 0.01x turnover of pooled liquidity.

volume_24h_usd = 2,755 USD

Thesis

The leading signal this cycle is premium divergence (Token price diverges 252bps from the reference equity price.) The measurements below are source-verified; interpretation is limited to what the evidence supports.

Claims

  • Factconfidence 95%

    HOODx circulating supply is 597,392.589 tokens, verified against Solana RPC.

  • Calculationconfidence 90%

    HOODx trades at +252bps versus the HOOD reference price ($97.92682447570756 vs $95.52).

  • Factconfidence 88%

    Tracked DEX liquidity is $446,368 with $2,755 of 24h volume across 10 pools.

  • Hypothesisconfidence 50%

    The positive premium is consistent with net token demand while reference-market arbitrage is constrained; it should compress when primary-market redemption is active.

    Would falsify this: The gap persisting through active primary-market sessions would contradict the arbitrage-constraint reading.

Evidence ledger

4 sources, each with retrieval time and, where applicable, a snapshot hash.

  • onchainreliability: primary

    HOODx token supply at slot 439578336(Solana mainnet (direct RPC))

    sha256:3e32dff24cff474b5ceee0194af084e1f503b14a4392f3dcf16d3d4ed8b475b4

  • onchainreliability: primary

    HOODx largest token accounts(Solana mainnet (direct RPC))

    sha256:d7e7e42838a904f06dbd02e15d91bc268f763b338be688bbbb8c076228b6e63d

  • marketreliability: high

    HOODx DEX pools, liquidity, and volume(DexScreener aggregated venue data)

    sha256:1cf24dc62ac5c4dba6d4cb4f86d115b3606470573c804b9cac77e90d1ac7a645

  • marketreliability: high

    HOODx token price and HOOD reference price(Jupiter price service)

    sha256:983ba657d4ccbdc1e519e838ff347e0b33d97980b486c26f24d72d485692f195

Methodology

Methods

  • Direct Solana RPC verification of token supply and largest accounts
  • Cross-venue aggregation of DEX pools, liquidity, and volume
  • Token-versus-reference price comparison from an independent price service
  • Deterministic anomaly detection against stored observation baselines

Exclusions and transformations

  • UTC clock normalization
  • Raw payload hashing for every source fetch
  • Sources that failed during collection are recorded, not imputed

Comparison window: Stored observation history for this asset

Confidence rationale

Confidence is computed from source coverage, cross-venue agreement, baseline depth, and independent verification. This run scored 0.7 (moderate).

Limitations

  • This object was synthesized by deterministic templates from verified metrics, not a language model.
  • Reference prices republished by the price service may lag the primary market.
  • Largest-account concentration includes liquidity pools and custodial accounts; it is not a beneficial-owner distribution.

Related research

This object elsewhere

sha256:185b1f11ef46c2da110948261142390558c6044418e79c7ba22ecb9d2dadbb5c

This is informational research produced by an automated system. It may contain errors, omissions, or delayed data.

Nothing here is individualized financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.