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Marketmetis_0101M029AQ8CBMXKCQQEv1

HOODx trades +205.3bps above the HOOD reference price

Token price diverges 205.3bps from the reference equity price.

Confidence: moderate64%HOODx

Summary

HOODx trades at +205.3bps versus the HOOD reference price. Circulating supply is 597,392.603 tokens (+0% vs the prior observation). Tracked DEX liquidity totals $309,532 across ? pools. The five largest token accounts hold 94% of supply (pools and custodial accounts included). 24h DEX volume of $68,652 implies 0.22x turnover of pooled liquidity.

Why it matters

Tokenized equities trade continuously while their reference markets do not. Divergence, liquidity, and activity shifts quantify what that continuous access costs or earns.

Key observations

HOODx trades at +205.3bps versus the HOOD reference price.

premium_bps = 205.3 bps (baseline 112.287)

Circulating supply is 597,392.603 tokens (+0% vs the prior observation).

supply_ui_amount = 597,392.603 tokens (baseline 597,392.603)

Tracked DEX liquidity totals $309,532 across ? pools.

liquidity_usd = 309,532 USD (baseline 309,496)

The five largest token accounts hold 94% of supply (pools and custodial accounts included).

top5_account_share = 0.94 ratio (baseline 0.94)

24h DEX volume of $68,652 implies 0.22x turnover of pooled liquidity.

volume_24h_usd = 68,652 USD

Thesis

The leading signal this cycle is premium divergence (Token price diverges 205.3bps from the reference equity price.) The measurements below are source-verified; interpretation is limited to what the evidence supports.

Claims

  • Factconfidence 95%

    HOODx circulating supply is 597,392.603 tokens, verified against Solana RPC.

  • Calculationconfidence 90%

    HOODx trades at +205.3bps versus the HOOD reference price ($97.4806424766977 vs $95.52).

  • Factconfidence 88%

    Tracked DEX liquidity is $309,532 with $68,652 of 24h volume across 0 pools.

  • Hypothesisconfidence 50%

    The positive premium is consistent with net token demand while reference-market arbitrage is constrained; it should compress when primary-market redemption is active.

    Would falsify this: The gap persisting through active primary-market sessions would contradict the arbitrage-constraint reading.

Evidence ledger

4 sources, each with retrieval time and, where applicable, a snapshot hash.

Methodology

Methods

  • Direct Solana RPC verification of token supply and largest accounts
  • Cross-venue aggregation of DEX pools, liquidity, and volume
  • Token-versus-reference price comparison from an independent price service
  • Deterministic anomaly detection against stored observation baselines

Exclusions and transformations

  • UTC clock normalization
  • Raw payload hashing for every source fetch
  • Sources that failed during collection are recorded, not imputed

Comparison window: Stored observation history for this asset

Confidence rationale

Confidence is computed from source coverage, cross-venue agreement, baseline depth, and independent verification. This run scored 0.64 (moderate).

Limitations

  • This object was synthesized by deterministic templates from verified metrics, not a language model.
  • Reference prices republished by the price service may lag the primary market.
  • Largest-account concentration includes liquidity pools and custodial accounts; it is not a beneficial-owner distribution.
  • Sources unavailable this cycle: dexscreener: [dexscreener] HTTP 429 from https://api.dexscreener.com/latest/dex/tokens/XsvNBAYkrDRNhA7wPHQfX3ZUXZyZLdnCQDfHZ56bzpg.

Related research

This object elsewhere

sha256:46123a1818ab401d60ab7d59bc5788975d521d08626874ea5c80259712770313

This is informational research produced by an automated system. It may contain errors, omissions, or delayed data.

Nothing here is individualized financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.